Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Verona are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ascoli are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Verona hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Coppa Italia, while Verona holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verona
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00