GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Verlaine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Standard Liege are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Standard Liege hold a 57.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 72.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Standard Liege holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Standard Liege

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

9.4%

Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VerlaineLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Standard LiegeLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VerlaineStandard Liege
0.0Attack86.7
33.3Defence60.0
0.0Form73.3
15.3Power72.3
1.35xG2.48
View match centre →