Verlvs
Würzburger Kickers
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Verl 2-1 Würzburger Kickers
Original prediction
Verl
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.5% | 42.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 23.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.4% | 34.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Verl
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VerlDWWLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Würzburger KickersWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VerlWürzburger Kickers
44.4Attack55.6
33.3Defence27.8
38.9Form38.9
42.0Power41.1
1.94xG1.78