Verlvs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Verl 2-2 SSV Jahn Regensburg
Original prediction
Verl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 37.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 26.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 36.2% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Verl
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VerlDLWDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SSV Jahn RegensburgWLDLD
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
VerlSSV Jahn Regensburg
50.0Attack75.0
37.5Defence29.2
45.8Form33.3
47.4Power44.2
2.21xG2.30