GGOALVIO

Verl logoVerlvsFortuna Koln logoFortuna Koln

SCHEDULED

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Verl are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Fortuna Köln are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 3. Liga, while Verl holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Verl

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

11.5%

Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VerlLLLWL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Fortuna KolnDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VerlFortuna Koln
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
1.64xG1.58
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