Verlvs
Fortuna Köln
SCHEDULEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Verl are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Fortuna Köln are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 3. Liga, while Verl holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verl
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
11.5%
Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40