Veres Rivnevs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Veres Rivne 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Veres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk
Original prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.38 | 8.8% | 17.8% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 18.1% | 26.0% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 73.1% | 56.2% | -16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Projected Score
Veres Rivne 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20