Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Verdes 0-1 Municipal
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.0%
Model confidence
13.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VerdesLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 22 · avg 0.80/4.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MunicipalDWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VerdesMunicipal
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
6.0Power64.8
1.06xG1.55