GGOALVIO

Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Veraguas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Veraguas 3-0 Union Cocle

Original prediction

Veraguas

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7152.6%51.6%-1.0 pts
Draw3.4825.9%26.3%0.4 pts
Away4.1821.5%22.1%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Veraguas

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Veraguas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeraguasLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Union CocleLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VeraguasUnion Cocle
50.0Attack31.0
53.3Defence58.6
50.0Form33.3
53.0Power42.9
1.37xG0.77
View match centre →