Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Veraguas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Veraguas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UMECIT are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Veraguas hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while Veraguas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Veraguas
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Veraguas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80