Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Veraguas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Veraguas 2-1 Tauro FC
Original prediction
Veraguas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.0% | 36.5% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 27.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.4% | 36.1% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Veraguas
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Veraguas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VeraguasDDWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Tauro FCLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VeraguasTauro FC
50.0Attack47.4
54.8Defence61.5
50.0Form44.9
53.4Power51.2
1.24xG1.16