Veraguasvs
Sporting San Miguelito
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/27/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Veraguas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Veraguas 1-1 Sporting San Miguelito
Original prediction
Veraguas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.2% | 40.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.2% | 29.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.5% | 29.8% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Veraguas
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Veraguas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80