Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Veraguas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Veraguas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Herrera are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Veraguas hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while Veraguas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Veraguas
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Veraguas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80