Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toledo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Verê are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Toledo are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Toledo hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Paranaense - 3, while Toledo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toledo
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Toledo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00