Ventura Countyvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ventura County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ventura County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ventura County hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Ventura County holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ventura County
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
9.8%
Ventura County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00