GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

LA Galaxy II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

9.0%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LA Galaxy IIWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsWDWDL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LA Galaxy IIReal Monarchs
68.3Attack47.0
55.6Defence36.4
55.6Form33.3
59.8Power40.0
3.03xG1.11
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