Ventura Countyvs
Minnesota United II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ventura County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ventura County 3-2 Minnesota United II
Original prediction
Ventura County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 15:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 54.7% | 16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 20.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.9% | 24.8% | -12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Ventura County
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Ventura County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60