Ventforet Kofuvs
Tochigi City
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ventforet Kofu 2-1 Tochigi City
Original prediction
Tochigi City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.3% | 28.3% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.7% | 28.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 42.1% | 43.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi City
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Tochigi City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40