Ventforet Kofuvs
Kataller Toyama
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kataller Toyama · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Kataller Toyama
Original prediction
Kataller Toyama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.12 | 22.3% | 23.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.3% | 26.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.5% | 50.4% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Kataller Toyama
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Kataller Toyama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20