Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granitas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Venta are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Granitas are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Granitas hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Cup, while Granitas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Granitas
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
7.5%
Granitas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/3.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67