Venezuela Wvs
Colombia W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colombia W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Venezuela W 0-1 Colombia W
Original prediction
Colombia W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.79 | 18.8% | 34.8% | 16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 28.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.3% | 37.2% | -17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Colombia W
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Colombia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80