Venezuela Wvs
Colombia W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colombia W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Venezuela W 1-2 Colombia W
Original prediction
Colombia W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 24.0% | 32.1% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 29.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.2% | 38.8% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Colombia W
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Colombia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80