Venda Novavs
Inter de Minas
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 3 · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venda Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Venda Nova 3-0 Inter de Minas
Original prediction
Venda Nova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 41.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.8% | 30.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Venda Nova
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Venda Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00