Venados FCvs
Tlaxcala
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/12/2025, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80