Venados FCvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/11/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60