Venados FCvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/27/2024, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20