Venados FCvs
Tapatío
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/6/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20