Venados FCvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/5/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80