Venados FCvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/14/2024, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00