Venados FCvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/20/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20