GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/5/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Venados FCMineros de Zacatecas
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence41.7
58.3Form66.7
53.2Power68.8
1.86xG2.01
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