Venados FCvs
Leones Negros UDG
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60