Venados FCvs
Irapuato
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Irapuato are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80