Venados FCvs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00