Venados FCvs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/16/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80