GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/23/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Correcaminos UatDLLDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCCorrecaminos Uat
66.7Attack91.7
33.3Defence33.3
58.3Form58.3
53.2Power62.0
2.01xG1.97
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