GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/21/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 51.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCWWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CimarronesDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCCimarrones
66.7Attack53.8
33.3Defence50.5
58.3Form46.2
53.2Power51.4
1.82xG1.65
View match centre →