Venados FCvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/7/2024, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celaya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 52.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80