Venados FCvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/10/2024, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celaya are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 52.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00