Venados FCvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/17/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Celaya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 52.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00