GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/18/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 54.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCDLLLW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CDS Tampico MaderoLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCCDS Tampico Madero
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence88.9
58.3Form44.4
53.2Power54.9
1.57xG1.37
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