GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCDLDLW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Venados FCCancún
66.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
53.2Power13.2
2.29xG1.24
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