GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/1/2024, 1:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCDLDDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
CancúnLDWWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Venados FCCancún
66.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
53.2Power13.2
2.29xG1.24
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