Venados FCvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/17/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cancún are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80