GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/12/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazWLLLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCCA La Paz
66.7Attack75.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
53.2Power57.9
1.68xG1.86
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