GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/12/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while CA La Paz are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
CA La PazDWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Venados FCCA La Paz
66.7Attack75.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
53.2Power57.9
1.68xG1.86
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