GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/28/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atlante FCWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCAtlante FC
66.7Attack48.4
33.3Defence78.6
58.3Form63.5
53.2Power63.9
0.97xG1.54
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