GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/3/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCDLDLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCAtlante FC
66.7Attack48.4
33.3Defence78.6
58.3Form63.5
53.2Power63.9
0.96xG1.54
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