GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/28/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atlante FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCAtlante FC
66.7Attack48.4
33.3Defence78.6
58.3Form63.5
53.2Power63.9
0.96xG1.54
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