Venados FCvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Venados FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.